Re: The Breakaway Conspiracy
Posted: Thu Jul 27, 2017 6:19 am
The big corporations today are like dinosaurs as Bruce Lipton has explained. They have been, and still are useful for products and services. But they lack awareness of the harmony of the planet as a whole. I came to think about a possibility and that is that new companies will pop up that can produce the same things and do it much better by cooperating with each other instead of competing with each other. Instead of clinging to and protecting things like patents and attacking each other with lawsuits and through other means, the new companies will open source most of their inventions so that they all can benefit from it and thereby develop new products and services much faster and much more efficient than the old clunky dinosaur corporations.
Combine that more decentralized and efficient business model with the release of new technologies and we will have an explosive progress curve. Ray Kurzweil has predicted that a technological singularity will happen around the year 2045. Others have said it will take much longer or not happen at all. Vernor Vinge on the other hand makes an even more remarkable prediction than Kurzweil:
"Just so I'm not guilty of a relative-time ambiguity, let me more specific: I'll be surprised if this event occurs before 2005 or after 2030." -- http://mindstalk.net/vinge/vinge-sing.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
That's like only one decade from today instead of three decades. What does Vinge mean by technological singularity? He wrote already in 1993:
"Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended."
Former CIA officer Robert David Steele has talked about "open source everything".
[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NaaNg8n1eus[/youtube]
I haven't listened to that presentation yet but it sounds similar to my idea of an open source decentralized business model. The key to the really explosive progress leading to a technological singularity is artificial general intelligence (AGI). General intelligence on the human level and beyond includes social intelligence and things like empathy and ethics. The danger with artificial intelligence is if it becomes really smart but in a narrow or pathological way. For example AI developed in secret military projects has the potential to become like a Nazi scientist with very high IQ and who at the same time is a complete psychopath with poorly developed social intelligence.
The old model with secrecy, patents, competition and so on is a growing ground for dangerous AI. The new open source model is much safer since the development can continuously be monitored openly and collectively, including with the general public participating and commenting.
And in an open source model that promotes safe AI development the breakaway civilization can publish ideas that will catalyze the progress. The breakaway civilization already has incredibly superior AI technology but we need to develop our own AI because technological progress is a part of our uniqueness and identity as a civilization.
Combine that more decentralized and efficient business model with the release of new technologies and we will have an explosive progress curve. Ray Kurzweil has predicted that a technological singularity will happen around the year 2045. Others have said it will take much longer or not happen at all. Vernor Vinge on the other hand makes an even more remarkable prediction than Kurzweil:
"Just so I'm not guilty of a relative-time ambiguity, let me more specific: I'll be surprised if this event occurs before 2005 or after 2030." -- http://mindstalk.net/vinge/vinge-sing.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
That's like only one decade from today instead of three decades. What does Vinge mean by technological singularity? He wrote already in 1993:
"Within thirty years, we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended."
Former CIA officer Robert David Steele has talked about "open source everything".
[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NaaNg8n1eus[/youtube]
I haven't listened to that presentation yet but it sounds similar to my idea of an open source decentralized business model. The key to the really explosive progress leading to a technological singularity is artificial general intelligence (AGI). General intelligence on the human level and beyond includes social intelligence and things like empathy and ethics. The danger with artificial intelligence is if it becomes really smart but in a narrow or pathological way. For example AI developed in secret military projects has the potential to become like a Nazi scientist with very high IQ and who at the same time is a complete psychopath with poorly developed social intelligence.
The old model with secrecy, patents, competition and so on is a growing ground for dangerous AI. The new open source model is much safer since the development can continuously be monitored openly and collectively, including with the general public participating and commenting.
And in an open source model that promotes safe AI development the breakaway civilization can publish ideas that will catalyze the progress. The breakaway civilization already has incredibly superior AI technology but we need to develop our own AI because technological progress is a part of our uniqueness and identity as a civilization.